Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.028960 0.031742 0.034485 0.037388 0.040367 0.043331 0.046497
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.023673 0.028189 0.032753 0.037685 0.042839 0.048048 0.053691
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.019326 0.024951 0.030767 0.037163 0.043945 0.050880 0.058467
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.016020 0.022427 0.029198 0.036762 0.044879 0.053255 0.062488
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.013135 0.020088 0.027605 0.036128 0.045376 0.054996 0.065668
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.010929 0.018313 0.026476 0.035860 0.046139 0.056903 0.068905
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.009434 0.017227 0.026014 0.036233 0.047509 0.059381 0.072671
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.007465 0.015415 0.024626 0.035491 0.047592 0.060409 0.074821
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.006102 0.014226 0.023878 0.035403 0.048333 0.062095 0.077624
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004764 0.012943 0.022946 0.035050 0.048734 0.063370 0.079941
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.003511 0.011630 0.021910 0.034526 0.048900 0.064351 0.081904
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.002095 0.009854 0.020219 0.033183 0.048105 0.064241 0.082648
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.001545 0.009420 0.020303 0.034059 0.049976 0.067242 0.086980
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000848 0.008583 0.019871 0.034354 0.051233 0.069620 0.090696
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000168 0.007319 0.018805 0.033849 0.051549 0.070933 0.093229
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.006227 0.017877 0.033460 0.051959 0.072316 0.095806
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.005104 0.016808 0.032846 0.052071 0.073335 0.097950
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.004262 0.016060 0.032587 0.052562 0.074750 0.100502
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.003796 0.015827 0.032948 0.053754 0.076931 0.103877
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002871 0.014775 0.032229 0.053654 0.077635 0.105598
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.002310 0.014239 0.032143 0.054276 0.079134 0.108179
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001706 0.013531 0.031802 0.054574 0.080248 0.110314
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.001121 0.012722 0.031294 0.054652 0.081094 0.112134